It is a fact of life that any new business or enterprise has a degree of risk attached to it. Therefore it is important for your business plan to analyse and calculate that risk, showing how you will engage with it. There is no business plan out there that is risk_free, but very often where the risk is higher then the rewards will be as well.
In many cases business plans are very important but so much of the time it's a plan to try to convince someone else that you know what you are doing with your business like banks, investors, partners, etc. Now it's true that a well written business plan can also be a major benefit to your success as well if done right. It can guide you and keep you on track and can be the vehicle to get you were you want to be especially with so many outside forces now days that bombard you. A plan can be extremely important to your success especially when you look at the statistics that says 51% of small businesses fail sometime during their first 5 years.